Sunday, January 4, 2026

Venezuela: Trump-Style Thug Behavior, and the Larger Problem of Operationalism

 


   In the 48 hours since Operation Absolute Resolve, there’s been a lot of nonsense spouted by the typical MAGA non-thinkers, and even by well-meaning centrists, up to and including Gov. Jared Polis, who want to cheer over Nicolas Maduro’s downfall. It’s time to lay out the specifics of the things that made the Maduro nab wrong in intent and in deed.

    First, the number of U.S. citizens who actually like Maduro can be numbered in dozens, mostly coming from odd lefist sects. Hugo Chavez may have had a cheering session back in the day, but Maduro entered office with an incompetence that drove the economy into the dirt, and drove many Venezuelans to seek lives elsewhere. Particularly after the outrageous election fraud in Venezuela last year, even many of Maduro’s supporters wanted him to somehow go through heavy-handed negotiations, to be replaced by Nobel winner Maria Corina Machado, or last year’s presidential candidate Edmundo Gonzalez. Trump scotched that plan January 3 when he threw his weight behind Maduro’s vice president, Delcy Rodriguez (could it have been partial envy over Machado winning the Nobel?).

     MAGA cheerleaders assume anyone raising questions about the midnight stab-n-grab must be people suffering from Trump Derangement Syndrome. But there were many wrong aspects of this that were uniquely Trumpian. Every major foreign-policy or economic action carried out by Trump in either term (particularly the second) has been accomplished in a Mafia-don-like attitude of thuggish brutality, self-aggrandizement, and an unspoken dare for anyone to contradict him Even apparent “wins” like the Gaza peace accord have been tarnished by the desire to make money and attach personal tags to the program. These characteristics were all in force in Caracas.

     In previous decades, CIA coups would be carried out with cash dispersed from intelligence agencies, and changes in leadership announced three or four days after the fact. Donald Trump is only interested in covert action as a support activity – CIA in port drone attacks, Delta Force in the actual seizing of Maduro and his wife. Trump made a special effort to parade Maduro in a public perp-walk so he could say, “See, Colombia? See, Nicaragua? See, Iran? You could be next.” These are the factors unique to Trump as a person.

    Trump will run into steep challenges when he says we “run the country now.” He can’t simply hand over the oil refineries and drilling platforms to Chevron and say “Here’s the keys to the car. Be sure to give me a slice of the profits.” The oil companies have daunting challenges. He already has admitted a fairly large contingent of U.S. troops will have to stay in Venezuela – and we did not have boots on the ground there before. He pledged his fealty to the Venezuelan political opposition for a year, but suddenly switched to supporting Maduro’s vice president, Delcy Rodriguez. This will not make our nation friends.

    But peace activists have to confront another level of bad behavior that may be a tougher principle for many to grasp. Far too many Americans are wholehearted believers in operationalism – “If it works, it is good by definition.” This is a skewed view of what is right. The primary metric for a president’s action should be whether it complies with domestic and international law. The second metric (sure to be highly contested) is whether the act is moral. Then, and only then, can we ask whether it achieved its stated goals.

    Congress enacted the War Powers Act during the Nixon administration to put guardrails around a president’s ability to independently take war-like actions. Every president since then has violated some element of the act. The only one with a slight hint of credibility was Obama’s efforts to kill Osama bin Laden, since bin Laden was an international terrorist with proven blood on his hands. The condition peace activists place on executive power, which is hard for many to grasp, is that we don’t want to see forward-based aggressive action or individual acts of assassination by the executive branch without a legislative and judicial review. We would expect other large powers with forward-based armies to act with the same limitations. Many Americans might say, “Don’t you want the U.S. to win something?” Not in the quasi-legal way that is suggested in Venezuela.

    There is nothing new here in American policy. In the mid-19th century, some historians thought James Knox Polk should have been ranked a far worse president than common perceptions grant him. He came into office and said what he would do, he did it, and he left after a single term. The problem was, the American people wanted him to invade Mexico to take land, and he wanted the same. When both the president and the people want something that doesn’t pass tests for legality or morality, who is to blame?

    In the beginning of the 20th century, Teddy Roosevelt won many cries of “Bully, bully!” for taking aggressive tactics in the Spanish-American War. He was famous for saying, “Speak softly and carry a big stick,” and was chided by many historians for using that stick inappropriately. Donald Trump now practices the equivalent of “Speak loudly and swing your stick around and hit people!” His methods lose us both friends and foes, allies and adversaries. Presidents who use more hard power than soft power have always been a problem, but presidents who recognize only hard power are on a suicidal trip to oblivion, even as many in the populace cry “Bully, bully!” Trump is a bully, all right. And more actions like Venezuela are bound to make our nation collapse not too soon after our 250th birthday.